War breaking out in Armenia/Azerbaijan
The spokesperson of the Iranian FM stated today that Iran would not tolerate the deployment of terrorists along its northern border.
He specified PKK and its Iranian branch PJAK. This seems to reflect Turkish allegations that Kurdish militants were fighting on the Armenian side. Fact is that the allegation is a mishmash of two separate facts. 1.) Members of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation, i.e. a social-democratic party and Armenian citizens, have joined the fight in a special unit. The ARF is called a terrorist organization although Turkey maintained political relations, the PM gave interviews to ARF papers, and ARF members participated in political and other events officially in Turkey and Europe with Turkish officials sitting at the same table. 2) Members of the Armenian parliament called on the country's Ezidi (Yezidi) community to join the fight and they thanked them for doing so. The Ezidis are a non-Muslim Middle Eastern community. The became widely known during the ISIS-attack on Sindjar and the massacres there. The Ezidi community of Armenia are mostly descendants of refugees who fled with other Armenians from Ottoman Turkey during the 1915 genocide. The massacres of Ezidis in 1915 has received little attention. As they speak Kurdish and Iraqi Ezidis are prominent in the Kurdistan Democratic Party (Barzanis) they are identified as Kurds while many Ezidis insist on an independent identity.
The second or third group the spokesman identified as terrorists are: Wahabi terrorists. In other words, Sunnis and he means those former Isis fighters turned mercenaries of Turkey which deployed by Azerbaijan and Turkey.
This is significant as it draws a red line and suggests that Iran will become active on the battlefield.
Aside from that Armenians shot down a helicopter gunship. The wreck fell on Iranian territory. It means that the Azeri want to break through along the Iranian border to Meghri. The gunship was hit in the Lele Tepe area which had been taken by Azerbaijan in 2016. This would mean that the Azeri advance has not progressed far from its initial staging areas. The area is about 45-50 km off the Armenian state border near Horadiz village. This a little piece of info that gives at least some indication where front line stands.
I personally consider the attacks in the north of Artsakh being mainly a diversion to bind Armenian forces. Advancing through mountainous terrain is not a very promising prospect when facing a determined adversary in possession of the higher ground and dug in.
This is an interesting video and report from the southern front. it is particularly valuable as it is authored by non-governmental writers who have a history of investigative journalism. Worthwhile bookmarking their website.
https://hetq.am/en/article/122255
He specified PKK and its Iranian branch PJAK. This seems to reflect Turkish allegations that Kurdish militants were fighting on the Armenian side. Fact is that the allegation is a mishmash of two separate facts. 1.) Members of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation, i.e. a social-democratic party and Armenian citizens, have joined the fight in a special unit. The ARF is called a terrorist organization although Turkey maintained political relations, the PM gave interviews to ARF papers, and ARF members participated in political and other events officially in Turkey and Europe with Turkish officials sitting at the same table. 2) Members of the Armenian parliament called on the country's Ezidi (Yezidi) community to join the fight and they thanked them for doing so. The Ezidis are a non-Muslim Middle Eastern community. The became widely known during the ISIS-attack on Sindjar and the massacres there. The Ezidi community of Armenia are mostly descendants of refugees who fled with other Armenians from Ottoman Turkey during the 1915 genocide. The massacres of Ezidis in 1915 has received little attention. As they speak Kurdish and Iraqi Ezidis are prominent in the Kurdistan Democratic Party (Barzanis) they are identified as Kurds while many Ezidis insist on an independent identity.
The second or third group the spokesman identified as terrorists are: Wahabi terrorists. In other words, Sunnis and he means those former Isis fighters turned mercenaries of Turkey which deployed by Azerbaijan and Turkey.
This is significant as it draws a red line and suggests that Iran will become active on the battlefield.
Aside from that Armenians shot down a helicopter gunship. The wreck fell on Iranian territory. It means that the Azeri want to break through along the Iranian border to Meghri. The gunship was hit in the Lele Tepe area which had been taken by Azerbaijan in 2016. This would mean that the Azeri advance has not progressed far from its initial staging areas. The area is about 45-50 km off the Armenian state border near Horadiz village. This a little piece of info that gives at least some indication where front line stands.
I personally consider the attacks in the north of Artsakh being mainly a diversion to bind Armenian forces. Advancing through mountainous terrain is not a very promising prospect when facing a determined adversary in possession of the higher ground and dug in.
This is an interesting video and report from the southern front. it is particularly valuable as it is authored by non-governmental writers who have a history of investigative journalism. Worthwhile bookmarking their website.
https://hetq.am/en/article/122255
another update:
Russia demands the withdrawal of foreign fighters from Syria and Libya (!) which means that Turkey is pulling its mercenaries out of North Africa, at least in part. Evidently this will weaken the position of Turkey's allies in Libya which might indicate that the losses in Azerbaijan made the move imperative.
Russia's statement confirms that these fighters are, indeed, combatants. So ISIS is in Azerbaijan and both Russian and Iran have issued warnings and demands.
Russia demands the withdrawal of foreign fighters from Syria and Libya (!) which means that Turkey is pulling its mercenaries out of North Africa, at least in part. Evidently this will weaken the position of Turkey's allies in Libya which might indicate that the losses in Azerbaijan made the move imperative.
Russia's statement confirms that these fighters are, indeed, combatants. So ISIS is in Azerbaijan and both Russian and Iran have issued warnings and demands.
thanks. I have a bit of history in that part of the world. Cant just sit every night at the Golden Sorya Mall, sorry Pub Street, and admire the miracles of Phnom Penh.
Here a contribution of the Azerbaijan Office of Tourism. Removing all quarantine and visa restrictions, Azerbaijan now welcomes tour groups from Libya.
https://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/uz218
The plane was a Libyan one. Seems the Tripoli government is involved as well as of now.
Here a contribution of the Azerbaijan Office of Tourism. Removing all quarantine and visa restrictions, Azerbaijan now welcomes tour groups from Libya.
https://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/uz218
The plane was a Libyan one. Seems the Tripoli government is involved as well as of now.
- Phuket2006
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wow
"We are turning into a nation of whimpering slaves to Fear—fear of war, fear of poverty, fear of random terrorism, or suddenly getting locked up in a military detention camp on vague charges of being a Terrorist sympathizer." HST
More on tourist flights from Turkey.
This report of yesterday seems to be a bit outdated as it claims that the fighters are not on the front lines, yet.
Interesting is that they claim the fighters are Turkmens and not Arabs. This is interesting as Turkmens are just a relatively small group in North-east Syria unless they were brought over from Iraq.
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186320/
Today's report shows that Syrian are on the front line and die by the dozens.
The report is mistaken when it speaks of Syrian born Armenian fighters. Armenians escaped from Aleppo, Salamiya and smaller towns to Armenia during the ongoing civil wars, some fought on the government side in the Aleppo battle.
Those who migrated to Armenian obtained Armenian citizenship, mostly dual citizenship. As Armenian citizens they are performing their military duties. No Armenian militant groups are shipped from Syria to Armenia.
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186420/
more context:
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186425/
This report of yesterday seems to be a bit outdated as it claims that the fighters are not on the front lines, yet.
Interesting is that they claim the fighters are Turkmens and not Arabs. This is interesting as Turkmens are just a relatively small group in North-east Syria unless they were brought over from Iraq.
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186320/
Today's report shows that Syrian are on the front line and die by the dozens.
The report is mistaken when it speaks of Syrian born Armenian fighters. Armenians escaped from Aleppo, Salamiya and smaller towns to Armenia during the ongoing civil wars, some fought on the government side in the Aleppo battle.
Those who migrated to Armenian obtained Armenian citizenship, mostly dual citizenship. As Armenian citizens they are performing their military duties. No Armenian militant groups are shipped from Syria to Armenia.
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186420/
more context:
https://www.syriahr.com/en/186425/
This map from twitter confirms my earlier assumptions about the front near the Iranian border and Horadiz. The Azeri territorial gains are very limited. A little complicating things is the fact that there are two locations with the same name within 10 km. The small town Horadiz is under Azeri control at this time.
Media is reporting the azerbaijan leader as saying combat will continue until they have taken back their territory.
It did not say how much they are taking back.
Further reports that turkey denies establishing air superiority over armenia.
Could a full scale invasion and occupation be planned by turkey and azerbaijan has come un for what they csn get out of it.
It did not say how much they are taking back.
Further reports that turkey denies establishing air superiority over armenia.
Could a full scale invasion and occupation be planned by turkey and azerbaijan has come un for what they csn get out of it.
Seems the new systems from Russia have arrived at the front line. Azeri planes, helicopters and drones dropping like ripe apples.
3 planes, 2 helicopter gunships, 6 drones were the lunch hour result. If true, this might mean that the Armenians will be soon on the offensive.
Azeris are shelling towns. 2 Le Monde, 1 Russian reporters and local staff wounded or in shelters.
3 planes, 2 helicopter gunships, 6 drones were the lunch hour result. If true, this might mean that the Armenians will be soon on the offensive.
Azeris are shelling towns. 2 Le Monde, 1 Russian reporters and local staff wounded or in shelters.
Turkey is all over this. Not like the last time.
Russia dont want to fight the turks.
Russia dont want to fight the turks.
Russia certainly does not want open war against Turkey. The implications would be too grave.
Within the last hour, Azerbaijan lost 3 planes in the southern sector. Fighting is intense in the North as well. Looking at the number of downed UAVs and planes since Thursday, it seems clear to me that top notch equipment from Russia arrived sometime on Wednesday in Armenia. The surge in lost aircraft cannot be explained by Azeris not using aircraft till Thursday.
Worrying is the deliberate targeting of journalists in the central sector. The Le Monde team was covering the destruction and bombardment of civilian homes - a fact Azerbaijan denies. And just when the journalists are at the spot of the denied facts, more shelling takes place. This is an illustration of what to think of their press statements.
The Southern sector is, in my view, the real battle field. The Azeris lost a helicopter gunship that fell on Iranian territory. This indicates who close to the border they try to advance. They use heavy artillery and record launchers (Smerch) placed in villages. Their records hit an Iranian village close to the Iranian/Armenian border much further west. The Iranians warned once more that they wont allow Isis and similar fighters close to their border.
Near Yerevan S300s are deployed and took down Azeri drones (spy type) near Yerevan, i.e. Ministry of Defense and the Russian compound/base. No idea if they were also near the airports and the Russian airbase. Armenians are understandably cautions about exact locations.
Azeris also claim to have hit a bridge on Armenian territory that is part of the supply line to Artsakh.
The number of destroyed tanks and personnel carries stands in the hundreds, both sides claiming over 300 hits.
I dont assume that the Armenian position is particularly weak right now. In case of a decisive setback, the pipelines and other transport facilities around Gandja would be gone. The Armenian SS-21s have been deployed but are not taking part in combat.
In the wider context, this war signifies the final nail in the coffin of Turkey's EU-application. It will also mean the end of their tank project with Rheinmetall.
Last night I read an interesting piece about the trials of an Armenian recruitment officer in Yerevan. The lady has major headaches to turn away underage girls, 18 year old girls who want to volunteer without the knowledge of their families or to reject a 63 year old lady who wont take no for answer as 55 year old ones can enlist.
I know a number of senior Armenian ladies and I made very sure that I was always on good terms with them. Aside from their superior cooking they can be really loud and persuasive.
I dont get anything specific nor do I ask for such info from Artsakh. Incoming emails are very rare which is indicating that people are busy in one way or another.
Within the last hour, Azerbaijan lost 3 planes in the southern sector. Fighting is intense in the North as well. Looking at the number of downed UAVs and planes since Thursday, it seems clear to me that top notch equipment from Russia arrived sometime on Wednesday in Armenia. The surge in lost aircraft cannot be explained by Azeris not using aircraft till Thursday.
Worrying is the deliberate targeting of journalists in the central sector. The Le Monde team was covering the destruction and bombardment of civilian homes - a fact Azerbaijan denies. And just when the journalists are at the spot of the denied facts, more shelling takes place. This is an illustration of what to think of their press statements.
The Southern sector is, in my view, the real battle field. The Azeris lost a helicopter gunship that fell on Iranian territory. This indicates who close to the border they try to advance. They use heavy artillery and record launchers (Smerch) placed in villages. Their records hit an Iranian village close to the Iranian/Armenian border much further west. The Iranians warned once more that they wont allow Isis and similar fighters close to their border.
Near Yerevan S300s are deployed and took down Azeri drones (spy type) near Yerevan, i.e. Ministry of Defense and the Russian compound/base. No idea if they were also near the airports and the Russian airbase. Armenians are understandably cautions about exact locations.
Azeris also claim to have hit a bridge on Armenian territory that is part of the supply line to Artsakh.
The number of destroyed tanks and personnel carries stands in the hundreds, both sides claiming over 300 hits.
I dont assume that the Armenian position is particularly weak right now. In case of a decisive setback, the pipelines and other transport facilities around Gandja would be gone. The Armenian SS-21s have been deployed but are not taking part in combat.
In the wider context, this war signifies the final nail in the coffin of Turkey's EU-application. It will also mean the end of their tank project with Rheinmetall.
Last night I read an interesting piece about the trials of an Armenian recruitment officer in Yerevan. The lady has major headaches to turn away underage girls, 18 year old girls who want to volunteer without the knowledge of their families or to reject a 63 year old lady who wont take no for answer as 55 year old ones can enlist.
I know a number of senior Armenian ladies and I made very sure that I was always on good terms with them. Aside from their superior cooking they can be really loud and persuasive.
I dont get anything specific nor do I ask for such info from Artsakh. Incoming emails are very rare which is indicating that people are busy in one way or another.
Maybe turkey wont be shunned as you predict.
End of projects, ha. No better proving ground than a battlefield.
If turkey stuffs this up, their well earned reputation with america, germany and britain may suffer so they wont want to lose this one.
End of projects, ha. No better proving ground than a battlefield.
If turkey stuffs this up, their well earned reputation with america, germany and britain may suffer so they wont want to lose this one.
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