The Houthis appear to be making steady advances once again as they've recaptured a swathe of coastline South of the major port of Hodeidah and are slowly moving up on the Coalition's last stronghold in the North, Marib.
If Marib falls that leaves only Taiz (currently contested, with the Coalition holding the centre and South) as the last contested city in what was once North Yemen.
There will be pressure on the Saudi backed Hadi Government from the UAE backed Southern Transitional Council to declare a ceasefire as the STC will effectively have what they want, a return of South Yemen. The Saudi's want out, as they are now 6 years into a war they thought would last several weeks and have found themselves under regular attack from Houthi ballistic missiles and drones,.
The question is whether the Houthi's will accept this or be emboldened to push on. There's a lot of open ground once you leave Marib and the Houthi's do better in the mountains which offers more respite from air assault.
The Coalition also have another problem to contend with. Their infighting (literally, UAE jets even bombed Hadi Government positions as the STC ousted the Hadi Government from Aden) has left a military and social vacuum in large parts of the South which has been filled by Al-Qaeda and ISIS. The areas under these groups' control needs to be taken back, and with forces constantly locking horns with the Houthis there appears insufficient manpower to do so.
Will the fall of Marib, likely to be a bloody affair, result in a cessation of hostilities and a chance to return Yemen to some sense of normality, or even a return to North and South Yemen? It's a question whose answer may well be on the horizon.
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